Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — live odds
78%
implied probability
recent price
-4¢ over the window
-4¢
24h change
$104K
24h volume
$1.6M
total volume
Jul 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 2m ago
High volatility
±21.6¢ swing band
- 2m ago
Odds swing
43¢ → 71¢ (+28¢ in 15 min)
- 17m ago
High volatility
±42.6¢ swing band
- 33m ago
High volatility
±38.5¢ swing band
- 33m ago
Odds swing
76¢ → 98¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)
- 38m ago
Volume spike
$186 traded — 4× the average
- 49m ago
High volatility
±37.3¢ swing band
- 49m ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 1¢ (-92¢ in 15 min)
- 54m ago
Volume spike
$1,014 traded — 21.5× the average
- 1h ago
High volatility
±12.2¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?"?
The market currently prices YES at 78¢ and NO at 22¢, an implied probability of 78% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1.6M has been traded in total, $104K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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