
Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? — final odds
"Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?" resolved YES on September 14, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $41K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
100%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$31K
24h volume
$41K
total volume
Sep 14, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 9d ago
High volatility
±8¢ swing band
- 9d ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 54¢ (-32.5¢ in 15 min)
- 9d ago
High volatility
±9.4¢ swing band
- 9d ago
High volatility
±9.4¢ swing band
- 9d ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 54¢ (-32.3¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
How did "Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?" resolve?
This market resolved YES on September 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$41K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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