Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? live odds

"Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 6% implied probability, with YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢. $13K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

6%

implied probability

YES NO 95¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

24h volume

$13K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±20.2¢ swing band

    56m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 70¢ (+69.4¢ in 15 min)

    56m ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.1¢ swing band

    12h ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.9¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 11¢ (+9.5¢ in 15 min)

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.4¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • Odds swing

    70¢ → 98¢ (+28¢ in 15 min)

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±56.6¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±50.6¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 100¢ (+98.3¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢, an implied probability of 6% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$13K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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