Will Solana dip to $40 in July? live odds

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$10K

24h volume

$45K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±45.3¢ swing band

    4m ago
  • Odds swing

    79¢ → 100¢ (+20.6¢ in 15 min)

    4m ago
  • conviction signal

    12m ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.4¢ swing band

    20m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 11¢ (-89.1¢ in 15 min)

    20m ago
  • High volatility

    ±50.1¢ swing band

    37m ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.6¢ swing band

    53m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 89¢ (-10.6¢ in 15 min)

    53m ago
  • High volatility

    ±15.3¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.8¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Solana dip to $40 in July?"?

The market currently prices YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢, an implied probability of 100% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$45K has been traded in total, $10K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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