Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m? final odds

Resolved YES · August 9, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 95% implied probability.

"Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?" resolved YES on August 9, 2026 at a final price of 95¢ YES — a 95% implied probability — after $39K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$17K

24h volume

$39K

total volume

Aug 9, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Quick answers

How did "Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 9, 2026. Its final traded price was 95¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 95%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$39K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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