Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? live odds

"Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $13K has changed hands so far, $6K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 2, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

0%

implied probability

YES NO

recent price

24h change

$6K

24h volume

$13K

total volume

Aug 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?"?

The market currently prices YES at — and NO at —, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 2, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.the-numbers.com/.

How much has been traded on this market?

$13K has been traded in total, $6K of it in the last 24 hours.

Get alerted when this market moves

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