Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? — live odds

Part of Turner Prize 2026 Winner· see all 4 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $17K has changed hands so far, $213 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by April 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

-9¢ over the window

-9¢

24h change

$213

24h volume

$17K

total volume

Apr 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.