Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? — final odds

Resolved NO · October 31, 2026Final price 5¢ YES — the market gave this a 5% implied probability.

"Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?" resolved NO on October 31, 2026 at a final price of 5¢ YES — a 5% implied probability — after $26K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 5¢NO 95¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$26K

total volume

Oct 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±29.4¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 98¢ (+97.4¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
High volatility
±47.4¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 98¢ (+77.3¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
High volatility
±46.9¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 99¢ (+77.6¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
High volatility
±5.2¢ swing band
6d ago
High volatility
±8.6¢ swing band
18d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 33¢ (+30.8¢ in 15 min)
18d ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
18d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Quick answers

How did "Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on October 31, 2026. Its final traded price was 5¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 5¢ — an implied probability of 5%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.