Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? — final odds

Resolved NO · October 24, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?" resolved NO on October 24, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $146K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$43K

24h volume

$146K

total volume

Oct 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

Quick answers

How did "Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on October 24, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$146K was traded over the market's lifetime.

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