Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? final odds

Resolved NO · September 11, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?" resolved NO on September 11, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $363K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

24h change

$149K

24h volume

$363K

total volume

Sep 11, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Quick answers

How did "Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 11, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$363K was traded over the market's lifetime.

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