Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? final odds

This market has ended · July 24, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?" resolved on July 24, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $109K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES NO

recent price

24h change

$22K

24h volume

$109K

total volume

Jul 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±54.5¢ swing band

    60d ago
  • High volatility

    ±55.6¢ swing band

    60d ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 43¢ (+40¢ in 15 min)

    60d ago
  • High volatility

    ±51¢ swing band

    60d ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.8¢ swing band

    60d ago
  • High volatility

    ±22.8¢ swing band

    64d ago
  • Odds swing

    36¢ → 18¢ (-18¢ in 15 min)

    64d ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.1¢ swing band

    64d ago
  • Odds swing

    43¢ → 23¢ (-20¢ in 15 min)

    64d ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.2¢ swing band

    65d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Quick answers

How did "Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?" resolve?

This market ended on July 24, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$109K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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