Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 1? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 1, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 1?" resolved NO on August 1, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $38K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$28K

24h volume

$38K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$105 traded — 5.7× the average
8h ago
Volume spike
$147 traded — 8× the average
8h ago
High volatility
±7.7¢ swing band
8h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 20¢ (+19.5¢ in 15 min)
8h ago
High volatility
±26.6¢ swing band
8h ago
High volatility
±25.7¢ swing band
8h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 2¢ (-66.7¢ in 15 min)
8h ago
High volatility
±26.9¢ swing band
9h ago
Odds swing
20¢ → 5¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 93¢ (+92.3¢ in 15 min)
9h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 1?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.