Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 17, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?" resolved YES on August 17, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $33K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$32K

24h volume

$33K

total volume

Aug 17, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
39m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 100¢ (+99.8¢ in 15 min)
39m ago
High volatility
±41.7¢ swing band
54m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 0¢ (-99.1¢ in 15 min)
54m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.099¢ vs 0.0284¢ normal
1h ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±35.5¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±37.8¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 100¢ (+94.2¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±25.9¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 17, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.