Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? — live odds

"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18?" is trading at a 99% implied probability, with YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢. $30K has changed hands so far, $18K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 18, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$18K

24h volume

$30K

total volume

Oct 18, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 72¢ (-27.7¢ in 15 min)

    28m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.4¢ swing band

    41m ago
  • Odds swing

    99¢ → 69¢ (-29.7¢ in 15 min)

    46m ago
  • High volatility

    ±35.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    35¢ → 98¢ (+63.5¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    21¢ → 97¢ (+76.2¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±53.3¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.8¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    21¢ → 31¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.5¢ swing band

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18?"?

The market currently prices YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢, an implied probability of 99% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 18, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$30K has been traded in total, $18K of it in the last 24 hours.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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