
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? — live odds
"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18?" is trading at a 99% implied probability, with YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢. $30K has changed hands so far, $18K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 18, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
99%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$18K
24h volume
$30K
total volume
Oct 18, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 28m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 72¢ (-27.7¢ in 15 min)
- 41m ago
High volatility
±28.4¢ swing band
- 46m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 69¢ (-29.7¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±35.7¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
35¢ → 98¢ (+63.5¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 97¢ (+76.2¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±53.3¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±21.8¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 31¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)
- 3h ago
High volatility
±5.5¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18?"?
The market currently prices YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢, an implied probability of 99% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 18, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
How much has been traded on this market?
$30K has been traded in total, $18K of it in the last 24 hours.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
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