Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 16? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin price on October 16?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 16?" is trading at a 13% implied probability, with YES at 13¢ and NO at 87¢. $19K has changed hands so far, $16K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

13%

implied probability

YES 13¢NO 87¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$16K

24h volume

$19K

total volume

Oct 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±31.6¢ swing band
12m ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 86¢ (+81.9¢ in 15 min)
12m ago
High volatility
±18¢ swing band
27m ago
High volatility
±58.4¢ swing band
42m ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 98¢ (+87¢ in 15 min)
42m ago
High volatility
±30.2¢ swing band
57m ago
Odds swing
49¢ → 40¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
57m ago
High volatility
±24.9¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
32¢ → 84¢ (+52¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.