Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on August 26? — final odds

This market has ended · August 26, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 95% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on August 26?" resolved on August 26, 2026 at a final price of 95¢ YES — a 95% implied probability — after $101K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO 5¢

recent price

—

24h change

$101K

24h volume

$101K

total volume

Aug 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.001¢ normal
1h ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 8.5× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±11.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 87¢ (+18.2¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±35.4¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
65¢ → 17¢ (-47.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±24.9¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 97¢ (+80.2¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±39.5¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±38.3¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on August 26?" resolve?

This market ended on August 26, 2026 with a final traded price of 95¢ YES (95% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 95%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.