Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on November 14? — final odds

Resolved YES · November 14, 2026Final price 98¢ YES — the market gave this a 98% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on November 14?" resolved YES on November 14, 2026 at a final price of 98¢ YES — a 98% implied probability — after $36K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

98%

implied probability

YES 98¢NO 2¢

recent price

—

24h change

$28K

24h volume

$36K

total volume

Nov 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±58.7¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 12¢ (+8.7¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±33.6¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 84¢ (-13.5¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±46.4¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±13.9¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 73¢ (+22.9¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±18.6¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
86¢ → 60¢ (-25.9¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±19.5¢ swing band
11h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on November 14?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on November 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 98¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 98¢ — an implied probability of 98%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.