Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 15? — final odds

This market has ended · October 15, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 95% implied probability.

"Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 15?" resolved on October 15, 2026 at a final price of 95¢ YES — a 95% implied probability — after $20K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO 5¢

recent price

—

24h change

$15K

24h volume

$20K

total volume

Oct 15, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 100¢ (+13.3¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±24.5¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
66¢ → 5¢ (-60.7¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±30.4¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
51¢ → 6¢ (-44.3¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±13.5¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
83¢ → 41¢ (-41.8¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.703¢ vs 0.1093¢ normal
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 15?" resolve?

This market ended on October 15, 2026 with a final traded price of 95¢ YES (95% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 95%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.