Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31? live odds

"Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $32K has changed hands so far, $275 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

-12¢ over the window

-12¢

24h change

$275

24h volume

$32K

total volume

Aug 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?"?

The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$32K has been traded in total, $275 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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