
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July? — final odds
"Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?" resolved NO on August 1, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $61K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-2¢ over the window
-2¢
24h change
$6K
24h volume
$61K
total volume
Aug 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 28d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 17¢ (+15.8¢ in 15 min)
- 28d ago
High volatility
±4.6¢ swing band
- 28d ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 0¢ (-15.7¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Quick answers
How did "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on August 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$61K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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