Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? — final odds

Resolved NO · November 1, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?" resolved NO on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $448K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$82K

24h volume

$448K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±36.6¢ swing band
9h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 85¢ (+83.4¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
High volatility
±34.8¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
84¢ → 70¢ (-13.9¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±26.4¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±30.9¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±26.7¢ swing band
15h ago
Odds swing
66¢ → 84¢ (+17.6¢ in 15 min)
15h ago
High volatility
±36.2¢ swing band
16h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 83¢ (+81.4¢ in 15 min)
16h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.