
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 22? — live odds
"Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 22?" is trading at a 76% implied probability, with YES at 76¢ and NO at 25¢. $24K has changed hands so far, $11K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 22, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
76%
implied probability
recent price
+36¢ over the window
+36¢
24h change
$11K
24h volume
$24K
total volume
Aug 22, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 9h ago
High volatility
±21¢ swing band
- 9h ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 62¢ (-32.2¢ in 15 min)
- 9h ago
High volatility
±47.3¢ swing band
- 9h ago
Odds swing
59¢ → 22¢ (-36.9¢ in 15 min)
- 9h ago
conviction signal
- 12h ago
High volatility
±45.8¢ swing band
- 12h ago
Odds swing
26¢ → 81¢ (+55.1¢ in 15 min)
- 13h ago
High volatility
±47.9¢ swing band
- 13h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 90¢ (-9.9¢ in 15 min)
- 13h ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 46¢ (-51.5¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 22?"?
The market currently prices YES at 76¢ and NO at 25¢, an implied probability of 76% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by August 22, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$24K has been traded in total, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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