Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 22? live odds

"Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 22?" is trading at a 76% implied probability, with YES at 76¢ and NO at 25¢. $24K has changed hands so far, $11K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 22, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

76%

implied probability

YES 76¢NO 25¢

recent price

+36¢ over the window

+36¢

24h change

$11K

24h volume

$24K

total volume

Aug 22, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±21¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • Odds swing

    94¢ → 62¢ (-32.2¢ in 15 min)

    9h ago
  • High volatility

    ±47.3¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • Odds swing

    59¢ → 22¢ (-36.9¢ in 15 min)

    9h ago
  • conviction signal

    9h ago
  • High volatility

    ±45.8¢ swing band

    12h ago
  • Odds swing

    26¢ → 81¢ (+55.1¢ in 15 min)

    12h ago
  • High volatility

    ±47.9¢ swing band

    13h ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 90¢ (-9.9¢ in 15 min)

    13h ago
  • Odds swing

    97¢ → 46¢ (-51.5¢ in 15 min)

    13h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 22?"?

The market currently prices YES at 76¢ and NO at 25¢, an implied probability of 76% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 22, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$24K has been traded in total, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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