TL;DR
- 🐋 Clarity Act market sees $536K whale BUY, price up 67¢
- OpenAI Astra model release odds drop 31¢ to 40¢
- Bitcoin above $72K market spikes 141x volume
📈 The big moves
| Market | Move | Now | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | ▼ -47¢ | 13¢ (13%) | -- |
| US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider | ▲ +35¢ | 73.5¢ (73.5%) | -- |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? | ▼ -31.2¢ | 40.55¢ (40.55%) | -- |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | ▼ -30.5¢ | 63.5¢ (63.5%) | -- |
The market on the "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?" saw a significant downward repricing of 47¢ to 13¢, suggesting a sharp shift in perceived probability for the bill becoming law. This market tracks a specific piece of legislation and its potential passage within the calendar year.
🐋 Whale watch
The day's most impactful trade was a massive BUY of $536,570.08 in the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? market, with the price following the trade by 67¢. This indicates a strong signal as a large position moved the market significantly. For more on tracking big players, see our whale watching guide.
Another notable trade was a $71,136.79 SELL in the market "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?", which saw the price decline by 99.3¢. Similarly, a $66,622.23 SELL in the "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" market caused a 72¢ price drop, with the price absorbing the trade.
📊 Volume spikes
Several markets saw significant jumps in trading activity. The market predicting if Bitcoin will be above $72,000 on September 5? experienced a volume spike of 141.1x its average, with $4,447.43 in trades. This indicates intense interest in Bitcoin's short-term price movements, which you can track with the Bitcoin price target tracker.
The market asking "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?" saw its volume multiply by 12.7x, trading $200.0. Additionally, the market on "Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?" spiked to 81.6x its average volume with $100.0 traded.
🗓️ Resolving soon
Several markets are nearing their resolution. Today, the "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?" market will settle with over $913K in volume. For those following election betting odds, the markets on whether the "AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?" will resolve on September 6th, reflecting ongoing political developments.
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