TL;DR
- 🐋 ~$47K whale buy impacts Bitcoin price target market 95.7¢
- Ethereum dip market drops 46¢ on the day
- Fed rate cut market sees 137x volume spike
📈 The big moves
| Market | Move | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | ▼ -46¢ | 14¢ (14%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 5? | ▼ -40.6¢ | 28.05¢ (28%) |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? | ▼ -33.6¢ | 22.7¢ (23%) |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | ▲ +27¢ | 64.5¢ (64.5%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | ▲ +26.9¢ | 42.15¢ (42%) |
The market for "Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?" saw the largest single price move today, dropping 46¢ to price a 14% implied probability. This long-dated market resolves at the end of next year.
🐋 Whale watch
A significant $47,638 BUY moved the market for "Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?", pushing its price 95.7¢. Another large trade was a $45,229 BUY in the "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?" market, with an 88.0¢ impact. These trades align with patterns we track in our whale watching guide. Meanwhile, a $32,139 BUY in the "Trump out as President before 2027?" market was absorbed, moving the price against the trade by 92.1¢.
📊 Volume spikes
Several markets experienced notable volume spikes in the last 24 hours:
| Market | Volume | vs average |
|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $679.74 | 137.2× |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? | $644.0 | 37.5× |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | $80.08 | 13.4× |
The market regarding "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?" saw a significant 137.2x surge in volume, signaling increased activity around future monetary policy expectations.
🗓️ Resolving soon
Two markets are scheduled to resolve today, November 5th: "Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?" (Sports) at 17:30 UTC, and "Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?" (Finance) at 23:59 UTC.
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