
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? — live odds
"Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 21% implied probability, with YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢. $149K has changed hands so far, $53K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
21%
implied probability
recent price
+5¢ over the window
+5¢
24h change
$53K
24h volume
$149K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 13m ago
Odds swing
34¢ → 21¢ (-13¢ in 15 min)
- 13m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.05¢ vs 0.0161¢ normal
- 21m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.06¢ vs 0.0138¢ normal
- 28m ago
High volatility
±22.2¢ swing band
- 28m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 28¢ (-70¢ in 15 min)
- 43m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 75¢ (-24¢ in 15 min)
- 59m ago
High volatility
±4.7¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.03¢ vs 0.01¢ normal
- 1h ago
High volatility
±13.1¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 75¢ (+72¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢, an implied probability of 21% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$149K has been traded in total, $53K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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