Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 21% implied probability, with YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢. $149K has changed hands so far, $53K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

21%

implied probability

YES 21¢NO 79¢

recent price

+5¢ over the window

+5¢

24h change

$53K

24h volume

$149K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    34¢ → 21¢ (-13¢ in 15 min)

    13m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.05¢ vs 0.0161¢ normal

    13m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.06¢ vs 0.0138¢ normal

    21m ago
  • High volatility

    ±22.2¢ swing band

    28m ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 28¢ (-70¢ in 15 min)

    28m ago
  • Odds swing

    99¢ → 75¢ (-24¢ in 15 min)

    43m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.7¢ swing band

    59m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.03¢ vs 0.01¢ normal

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 75¢ (+72¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢, an implied probability of 21% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$149K has been traded in total, $53K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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