Which outcome is favored for 3rd richest person on December 31??

The market currently favors Larry Page at 12% implied probability (YES trading at 12¢).

How much has been traded on 3rd richest person on December 31??

$21K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $0 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

3rd richest person on December 31? — live odds

3 outcomes$21K tradedresolves by January 1, 2027

Live 3rd richest person on December 31? odds: Larry Page leads the field at 12% implied probability, ahead of Warren Buffett (8%) and Steve Ballmer (1%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $21K traded and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Larry Page 12%

implied probability (12¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1Larry Page

12%12¢ · — 24h 2Warren Buffett

8%8¢ · — 24h 3Steve Ballmer

1%1¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for 3rd richest person on December 31??: The market currently favors Larry Page at 12% implied probability (YES trading at 12¢).
How much has been traded on 3rd richest person on December 31??: $21K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $0 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

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