Which outcome is favored for 3rd richest person on December 31??

The market currently favors Warren Buffett at 44% implied probability (YES trading at 44¢).

How much has been traded on 3rd richest person on December 31??

$25K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $91 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 3, 2027.

Event odds table

3rd richest person on December 31? — live odds

5 outcomes$25K traded$91 · 24hresolves by January 3, 2027

Live 3rd richest person on December 31? odds: Warren Buffett leads the field at 44% implied probability, ahead of Larry Page (42%) and Steve Ballmer (36%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $25K traded ($91 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 3, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Warren Buffett 44%

implied probability (44¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1Warren Buffett

44%44¢ · $46 24h 2Larry Page

42%42¢ · — 24h 3Steve Ballmer

36%36¢ · — 24h 4Jensen Huang

36%36¢ · $45 24h 5Mark Zuckerberg

21%21¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for 3rd richest person on December 31??: The market currently favors Warren Buffett at 44% implied probability (YES trading at 44¢).
How much has been traded on 3rd richest person on December 31??: $25K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $91 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 3, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

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