Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31? — live odds

Part of 3rd richest person on December 31?· see all 3 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-98¢ over the window

-98¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$13K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.686 · edge: 0.304
9h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.687 · edge: 0.303
18h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.699 · edge: 0.291
21h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.656 · edge: 0.334
23h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.677 · edge: 0.313
1d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.703 · edge: 0.287
1d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.692 · edge: 0.298
1d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.676 · edge: 0.314
1d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.701 · edge: 0.289
2d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.659 · edge: 0.331
2d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.