Event odds table

Berlin State Election Winner — live odds
8 outcomes$3.5M traded$27K · 24hresolves by September 20, 2026
Live Berlin State Election Winner odds: Linke leads the field at 43% implied probability, ahead of CDU (42%) and FW (14%). All 8 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $3.5M traded ($27K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 20, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Linke 43%
implied probability (43¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 8
1Linke
43%43¢ · $2K 24h2CDU
42%42¢ · $2K 24h3FW
14%14¢ · — 24h4AfD
11%11¢ · $22K 24h5FDP
6%6¢ · — 24h6Grüne
5%5¢ · $862 24h7SPD
2%1¢ · $787 24h8BSW
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Berlin State Election Winner?
- The market currently favors Linke at 43% implied probability (YES trading at 43¢).
- How much has been traded on Berlin State Election Winner?
- $3.5M has been traded across 8 outcome markets, $27K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 20, 2026.