Event odds table
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place — live odds
18 outcomes$6.3M traded$29K · 24hresolves by October 4, 2026
Live Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place odds: Helder Barbalho leads the field at 96% implied probability, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro (84%) and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (12%). All 18 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $6.3M traded ($29K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Helder Barbalho 96%
implied probability (96¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 18
1Helder Barbalho
96%96¢ · — 24h2Flávio Bolsonaro
84%84¢ · $12K 24h3Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
12%12¢ · $15K 24h4Augusto Cury
2%2¢ · $891 24h5Renan Santos
2%2¢ · $505 24h6Fernando Haddad
0%0¢ · $125 24h7Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior
0%0¢ · — 24h8Ronaldo Caiado
0%0¢ · $125 24h9Romeu Zema
0%0¢ · $125 24h10Tarcisio de Freitas
0%0¢ · $125 24h11Geraldo Alckmin
0%0¢ · $125 24h12Michelle Bolsonaro
0%0¢ · $125 24h13Jair Bolsonaro
0%0¢ · $127 24h14Camilo Santana
0%0¢ · $185 24h15Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%0¢ · $125 24h16Eduardo Leite
0%0¢ · $192 24h17Aldo Rebelo
0%0¢ · $125 24h18Tereza Cristina
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
- The market currently favors Helder Barbalho at 96% implied probability (YES trading at 96¢).
- How much has been traded on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
- $6.3M has been traded across 18 outcome markets, $29K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 4, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 18 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
