Which outcome is favored for Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

The market currently favors Karen Bass at 65% implied probability (YES trading at 65¢).

How much has been traded on Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

$2.4M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Los Angeles Mayoral Election — live odds

2 outcomes$2.4M traded$3K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

Live Los Angeles Mayoral Election odds: Karen Bass leads the field at 65% implied probability, ahead of Nithya Raman (35%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.4M traded ($3K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Karen Bass 65%

implied probability (65¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1Karen Bass

65%65¢ · $1K 24h 2Nithya Raman

35%35¢ · $1K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Los Angeles Mayoral Election?: The market currently favors Karen Bass at 65% implied probability (YES trading at 65¢).
How much has been traded on Los Angeles Mayoral Election?: $2.4M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 2 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.