Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? — live odds
38%
implied probability
recent price
-1¢ over the window
-1¢
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$1.2M
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?"?
The market currently prices YES at 38¢ and NO at 62¢, an implied probability of 38% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1.2M has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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