Which outcome is favored for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?

The market currently favors Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? at 95% implied probability (YES trading at 95¢).

How much has been traded on OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?

$2.4M has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap — live odds

7 outcomes$2.4M traded$1K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap odds: Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? leads the field at 95% implied probability, ahead of Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? (1%) and Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? (1%). All 7 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.4M traded ($1K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? 95%

implied probability (95¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 7

Full market details →

1Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

95%95¢ · $1K 24h 2Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

1%1¢ · — 24h 3Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

1%1¢ · — 24h 4Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

1%1¢ · — 24h 5Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

1%1¢ · — 24h 6Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

0%0¢ · $5 24h 7Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

0%0¢ · $328 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?: The market currently favors Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? at 95% implied probability (YES trading at 95¢).
How much has been traded on OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?: $2.4M has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

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