Which outcome is favored for OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ??

The market currently favors 800B at 75% implied probability (YES trading at 74¢).

How much has been traded on OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ??

$1.6M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $599 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

Event odds table

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? — live odds

5 outcomes$1.6M traded$599 · 24hresolves by January 1, 2028

Live OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? odds: 800B leads the field at 75% implied probability, ahead of 1T (68%) and 1.2T (59%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($599 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

800B 75%

implied probability (74¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1800B

75%74¢ · $172 24h 21T

68%68¢ · $93 24h 31.2T

59%59¢ · — 24h 41.4T

59%59¢ · $244 24h 51.6T

44%44¢ · $92 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ??: The market currently favors 800B at 75% implied probability (YES trading at 74¢).
How much has been traded on OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ??: $1.6M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $599 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 5 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.