Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

26%

implied probability

YES 26¢NO 74¢

recent price

-73¢ over the window

-73¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$213K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±24.4¢ swing band
7m ago
Odds swing
86¢ → 2¢ (-84¢ in 15 min)
7m ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 98¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
39m ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 99¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 2¢ (-85¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 98¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 2¢ (-85¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 99¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".