Which outcome is favored for Will Russia invade another country by...??

The market currently favors in 2026 at 3% implied probability (YES trading at 3¢).

How much has been traded on Will Russia invade another country by...??

$667K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $8K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

Will Russia invade another country by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$667K traded$8K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Will Russia invade another country by...? odds: in 2026 leads the field at 3% implied probability. All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $667K traded ($8K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

in 2026 3%

implied probability (3¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1in 2026

3%3¢ · $8K 24h 2by December 31, 2027

—— · $117 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Russia invade another country by...??: The market currently favors in 2026 at 3% implied probability (YES trading at 3¢).
How much has been traded on Will Russia invade another country by...??: $667K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $8K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 2 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.