Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20? live odds

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?" is trading at a 100% implied probability, with YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢. $121K has changed hands so far, $69K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 20, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$69K

24h volume

$121K

total volume

Aug 20, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Volume spike

    $253 traded — 6.4× the average

    2h ago
  • Volume spike

    $105 traded — 3× the average

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 91¢ (-8.4¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • conviction signal

    3h ago
  • Volume spike

    $233 traded — 6.6× the average

    4h ago
  • Volume spike

    $197 traded — 5.6× the average

    5h ago
  • Volume spike

    $877 traded — 24× the average

    5h ago
  • Volume spike

    $560 traded — 15.3× the average

    5h ago
  • Volume spike

    $200 traded — 5.5× the average

    5h ago
  • Volume spike

    $600 traded — 16.4× the average

    5h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?"?

The market currently prices YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢, an implied probability of 100% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 20, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$121K has been traded in total, $69K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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