Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? — final odds

This market has ended · August 7, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?" resolved on August 7, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $233K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

-60¢ over the window

-60¢

24h change

$204K

24h volume

$233K

total volume

Aug 7, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0049¢ normal
40m ago
Volume spike
$207 traded — 3.2× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±40.9¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$2,120 traded — 32.3× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$800 traded — 12.2× the average
2h ago
conviction signal
2h ago
Volume spike
$357 traded — 6× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$186 traded — 3.1× the average
3h ago
High volatility
±4¢ swing band
3h ago
Volume spike
$280 traded — 4.7× the average
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?" resolve?

This market ended on August 7, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.