Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 29, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?" resolved NO on July 29, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $255K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$238K

24h volume

$255K

total volume

Jul 29, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
22¢ → 0¢ (-21.9¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±9¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±5.2¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
43¢ → 59¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.11¢ vs 0.0221¢ normal
4h ago
High volatility
±8.5¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 55¢ (-44¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±4.6¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±16.3¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 68¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 29, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.