Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on September 13?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?" is trading at a 100% implied probability, with YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢. $140K has changed hands so far, $121K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

-5¢ over the window

-5¢

24h change

$121K

24h volume

$140K

total volume

Sep 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.3¢ swing band
14m ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 29¢ (+21¢ in 15 min)
14m ago
conviction signal
15m ago
High volatility
±9.3¢ swing band
29m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 30¢ (-68¢ in 15 min)
29m ago
Volume spike
$238 traded — 3.5× the average
46m ago
High volatility
±27¢ swing band
46m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 33¢ (-65¢ in 15 min)
46m ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 15.2× the average
52m ago
High volatility
±32¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.