Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on September 13?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 2¢ and NO at 98¢. $118K has changed hands so far, $87K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 2¢NO 98¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$87K

24h volume

$118K

total volume

Sep 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±41.8¢ swing band
1m ago
High volatility
±41¢ swing band
17m ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 94¢ (+92.5¢ in 15 min)
17m ago
Volume spike
$601 traded — 12.7× the average
38m ago
Volume spike
$450 traded — 10× the average
47m ago
High volatility
±19.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
25¢ → 1¢ (-23.9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Volume spike
$570 traded — 12.6× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$364 traded — 8.1× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±25.7¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.