Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7AM ET — final odds

Resolved NO · July 28, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

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implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$27K

24h volume

$27K

total volume

Jul 28, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0208¢ normal
16h ago
High volatility
±28.2¢ swing band
16h ago
Odds swing
71¢ → 1¢ (-70¢ in 15 min)
16h ago
High volatility
±12.2¢ swing band
16h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.06¢ vs 0.0196¢ normal
16h ago
High volatility
±36.1¢ swing band
16h ago
Odds swing
55¢ → 77¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)
16h ago
conviction signal
17h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7AM ET" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 28, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.