Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 28, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$162K

24h volume

$162K

total volume

Jul 28, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 12.7× the average
12h ago
Volume spike
$730 traded — 9.3× the average
12h ago
High volatility
±31.4¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 0¢ (-89.8¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
Volume spike
$300 traded — 3.8× the average
13h ago
Volume spike
$300 traded — 4× the average
13h ago
Volume spike
$255 traded — 3.4× the average
13h ago
High volatility
±5.5¢ swing band
14h ago
conviction signal
15h ago
Odds swing
9¢ → 1¢ (-8.5¢ in 15 min)
16h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 28, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.