Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? live odds

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$57K

24h volume

$113K

total volume

Jul 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 17 12:00 PM ET to July 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 24, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://x.com/elonmusk.

How much has been traded on this market?

$113K has been traded in total, $57K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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