Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — live odds
5%
implied probability
recent price
-85¢ over the window
-85¢
24h change
$4K
24h volume
$52.1M
total volume
Nov 7, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 12m ago
High volatility
±10.1¢ swing band
- 12m ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 23¢ (+18.4¢ in 15 min)
- 28m ago
High volatility
±29.5¢ swing band
- 28m ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 1¢ (-59.5¢ in 15 min)
- 43m ago
High volatility
±41.4¢ swing band
- 43m ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 1¢ (-89.4¢ in 15 min)
- 59m ago
High volatility
±34.9¢ swing band
- 59m ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 80¢ (+75¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±15.7¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
65¢ → 5¢ (-60¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
The market currently prices YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢, an implied probability of 5% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$52.1M has been traded in total, $4K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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From the blog
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Jul 18: Bitcoin & Presidential
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Jul 13: Sanders Nomination Bets
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