Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — live odds
"Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $54.8M has changed hands so far, $75K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
+35¢ over the window
+35¢
24h change
$75K
24h volume
$54.8M
total volume
Nov 7, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 5m ago
High volatility
±15.3¢ swing band
- 20m ago
High volatility
±18¢ swing band
- 20m ago
Odds swing
20¢ → 80¢ (+60.4¢ in 15 min)
- 36m ago
High volatility
±16.9¢ swing band
- 36m ago
Odds swing
35¢ → 80¢ (+45¢ in 15 min)
- 51m ago
High volatility
±18¢ swing band
- 51m ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 35¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±35.3¢ swing band
- 1h ago
High volatility
±25.7¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
35¢ → 0¢ (-34.7¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$54.8M has been traded in total, $75K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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