Ethereum Up or Down on July 28? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 28, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

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implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$63K

24h volume

$63K

total volume

Jul 28, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±4.9¢ swing band
12h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.035¢ vs 0.0109¢ normal
12h ago
Odds swing
9¢ → 89¢ (+80.1¢ in 15 min)
13h ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 2¢ (-9.9¢ in 15 min)
13h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 22¢ (+18.9¢ in 15 min)
14h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 24¢ (+11.3¢ in 15 min)
14h ago
High volatility
±7¢ swing band
14h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.04¢ vs 0.011¢ normal
14h ago
High volatility
±4.6¢ swing band
15h ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
15h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 28, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.