Ethereum Up or Down on July 29? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 29, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?" resolved NO on July 29, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $56K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-100¢ over the window

-100¢

24h change

$54K

24h volume

$56K

total volume

Jul 29, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±13.8¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 2¢ (-8.6¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±5.2¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 2¢ (-10.8¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
5h ago
conviction signal
5h ago
High volatility
±9.3¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 1¢ (-18¢ in 15 min)
6h ago
Odds swing
31¢ → 16¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)
6h ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
6h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 29, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.