Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13? — live odds

"Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $71K has changed hands so far, $59K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 14, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-8¢ over the window

-8¢

24h change

$59K

24h volume

$71K

total volume

Nov 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report. On November 12, 2026, Reuters reported that Huang had an intimate relationship with a second NVIDIA employee, whom it did not name. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a qualifying outlet publishes a qualifying report of an affair between Jensen Huang and any person other than Alice Huang, Kimberly Powell or the NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An affair refers to a romantic or sexual relationship outside Jensen Huang’s marriage. The affair itself may have taken place at any time during his marriage; only the timing of the report matters. The qualifying outlets are The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Financial Times, Reuters, the Associated Press, CNN, Bloomberg, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News and Fox News. Only news articles published on an outlet’s own platform qualify; editorials, opinion pieces, columns, broadcast or video segments, podcasts, social media posts and sponsored content will not qualify. A report will qualify if it meets any of the following: 1. presents the affair as fact; 2. reports the affair based on the outlet’s own sourcing, such as people familiar with the matter, documents or recordings (as in The New York Times’ November 11, 2026 report on Kimberly Powell); 3. reports an alleged affair between Jensen Huang and a specific person other than Alice Huang, Kimberly Powell or the employee reported by Reuters, regardless of whether the outlet presents the allegation as credible; or 4. reports that Jensen Huang, directly or through his official or legal representatives, has acknowledged such an affair. Reports under 1 or 2 qualify whether or not the person involved is named, provided they clearly distinguish that person from Alice Huang, Kimberly Powell and the unnamed NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters. A report does so if it, or other reporting from a qualifying outlet, makes clear that the person is not that employee (e.g., by describing them as a third NVIDIA employee with whom Huang had a relationship, or as someone who has never worked at NVIDIA), or if it confirms that Huang had affairs with at least four people. The following will not qualify: (i) reports that name or otherwise identify the NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters; (ii) reports about any person, named or unnamed, that do not make clear, on their own or together with other reporting from a qualifying outlet, that the person is not the NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters; (iii) general references to Huang’s infidelity (e.g., “Huang has been unfaithful for a while”); and (iv) allegations about an unnamed person that the outlet only relays from others, such as social media posts or other outlets’ reporting. A report under 4 qualifies only if it reports an acknowledgment, including one in private testimony that has been made public, that names a person other than Alice Huang and Kimberly Powell who is distinguished from the employee reported by Reuters as described above, or makes clear that Huang was unfaithful with someone other than them (for example, by acknowledging affairs with four or more people). Reports of acknowledgments that are not explicit and unambiguous, or that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest or immediately clarified as not being genuine, will not qualify. A qualifying report must be first published between market creation and November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Reports that only reference or link to articles published before market creation will not qualify unless they themselves meet the requirements above. An article first published before market creation will qualify only if a later update first makes it meet the requirements above, in which case the time of the update governs. The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the qualifying outlets; for acknowledgments, official information from Jensen Huang or his official or legal representatives may also be used.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 14, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$71K has been traded in total, $59K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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