
GTA 6 launch postponed again? — live odds
9%
implied probability
recent price
+2¢ over the window
+2¢
24h change
$504
24h volume
$580K
total volume
Nov 19, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 25d ago
High volatility
±28.8¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
54¢ → 36¢ (-18¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±49¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
89¢ → 63¢ (-26¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±36.2¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
36¢ → 97¢ (+61¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±42.3¢ swing band
- 25d ago
High volatility
±54.2¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
62¢ → 98¢ (+36¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±33.1¢ swing band
How this market resolves
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "GTA 6 launch postponed again?"?
The market currently prices YES at 9¢ and NO at 91¢, an implied probability of 9% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 19, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$580K has been traded in total, $504 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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