Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? — live odds
"Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $663K has changed hands so far, $375 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.
3%
implied probability
recent price
-86¢ over the window
-86¢
24h change
$375
24h volume
$663K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 74d ago
High volatility
±33.2¢ swing band
- 74d ago
Odds swing
89¢ → 6¢ (-83.2¢ in 15 min)
- 74d ago
High volatility
±45.1¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?"?
The market currently prices YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢, an implied probability of 3% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$663K has been traded in total, $375 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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